陆凯枫:大非农来袭 黄金主导回踩做多

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is expected to significantly influence gold prices, with current technical indicators suggesting a potential for a bullish trend if the data is favorable [1][5]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Gold has recently experienced a second dip around the 4660 level, which has attracted considerable buying interest in the domestic market, particularly before the Chinese New Year holiday [1][5]. - The current market dynamics suggest that the upcoming non-farm payroll data will serve as a critical signal for gold's price movement, with a positive outcome likely indicating a double bottom formation [1][6]. - If the non-farm data is negative, gold may continue to consolidate at lower levels or even reach new lows, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1][5]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - The four-hour chart shows a golden cross formation, which has also been confirmed on the daily chart, indicating a potential bullish trend [3][7]. - Despite the recent upward movement, gold has faced resistance at the 5091 level, suggesting that the bullish momentum may not be sustained in the short term [3][7]. - The market is currently in a state of anticipation, with traders advised to prepare for potential price movements based on the non-farm payroll data [6][7].