沃尔核材港股上市在即：最高发行价较A股折价超35% 英伟达铜缆核心供应商直面技术迭代与行业地位大考

Core Viewpoint - Wolong Materials is set to launch its global offering on February 5, with a maximum issue price of HKD 20.09 per share, raising approximately HKD 2.81 billion. The company is a leading AI high-speed copper cable supplier, leveraging its technological advantages to position itself within Nvidia's top supply chain. However, it faces challenges such as limited discount levels, lack of a greenshoe option, low cornerstone subscription ratios, and pressures from the AI industry's technological iterations and high raw material costs [1][2][10]. Group 1: IPO Details - The maximum issue price of HKD 20.09 per share represents a discount of approximately 37.1% compared to the A-share closing price of CNY 28.41 on February 10 [1]. - The offering includes 140 million shares, with a total issuance scale of about HKD 2.81 billion [1]. - The cornerstone investment attracted 16 investors, totaling USD 124 million, which is 34.5% of the issuance scale, indicating a relatively low cornerstone subscription ratio compared to other recent A to H projects [2][4]. Group 2: Market Position and Financial Performance - Wolong Materials ranks third among the top five manufacturers of high-speed copper cables, with a revenue of CNY 1.7 billion and a market share of 12.7% in 2024 [5][6]. - The company has shown steady revenue and profit growth, with projected net profit for 2025 expected to be between CNY 1.1 billion and CNY 1.18 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.79% to 39.22% [4][10]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Challenges - The collaboration with Amphenol has deepened, becoming a crucial link in entering Nvidia's AI supply chain, with revenue from Amphenol increasing significantly from CNY 1.38 million in 2022 to CNY 5.9 million in 2025 [7]. - The company faces raw material cost pressures, with copper prices rising significantly from CNY 59,200 per ton in 2022 to CNY 89,200 per ton in 2025, impacting profitability [9]. - The AI industry's technological iterations pose risks, as Nvidia's new server platform may reduce demand for traditional copper cables, leading to market concerns about Wolong's future demand [10].