Hongqi Chain(SZ:002697) Qi Lu Wan Bao·2026-02-11 08:19Core Insights - The current milk tea market is undergoing a significant reshuffle, with nearly 160,000 milk tea shops disappearing nationwide over the past year, equating to approximately 438 closures daily [2][3][4] - Despite the closures, leading brands are expanding rapidly, with brands like Mixue Ice City and Gu Ming entering the market aggressively, while health-focused brands like Fulingji and Nuanyan are also expanding their presence [4][5][18] - The market dynamics reflect a dual phenomenon of intense competition among established brands and the emergence of new players, alongside the exit of some initial brands [7][28] Industry Trends - The milk tea market in Zibo has transformed from a regional phenomenon to a nationally recognized commercial model, characterized by accelerated expansion of leading chains, local brand resilience, and sustained consumer interest [18][19] - As of January 2026, Mixue Ice City has approximately 42,000 stores nationwide, while Gu Ming has reached 13,000 stores, indicating a robust growth trajectory for these brands [23][24] - The competitive landscape is shifting towards a "stock game" phase, where market players are focusing on efficiency, product quality, and genuine value rather than merely marketing and promotional tactics [30][32] Consumer Behavior - Consumer preferences are shifting from trendy brands to value-oriented choices, with a focus on taste and price, particularly among student demographics who favor promotions like "second cup half price" [30][31] - The ideal price range for consumers is between 6-15 yuan, indicating a demand for affordable yet quality products [30] Competitive Landscape - The competition is intensifying, with brands like Heytea, Nayuki, and Lele Tea facing challenges as they scale back operations, while newer brands and established players continue to grow [28][30] - The future of the milk tea market will hinge on supply chain efficiency and brand risk management, as companies strive to differentiate themselves through quality and cultural integration [32]