Ge Long Hui A P P·2026-02-11 08:41Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry experienced a strong recovery in 2025, with an index increase of 33.14%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300, and is expected to continue high-quality development in 2026 driven by smart logistics equipment, mining machinery upgrades, and overseas market expansion [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance in 2025 - The total operating revenue of the engineering machinery industry reached 303.61 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.84% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 29.44 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.72%, indicating improved profitability [2]. - The gross profit margin increased from 24.86% in Q1 to 25.48% in the first three quarters, reflecting enhanced sales efficiency [2]. Group 2: Cash Flow and Operational Efficiency - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 29.10 billion yuan in the first three quarters, marking a new high for the same period in recent years, with a year-on-year growth rate of 41.79% in Q3 [4]. - Inventory turnover days decreased year-on-year, and the operating cycle was compressed by 3.73%, indicating improved operational efficiency despite a 9.35% increase in inventory value [4]. Group 3: Key Focus Areas for 2026 - Smart logistics equipment is expected to be the most promising growth area in 2026, driven by policy support, surging demand, and technological upgrades [6]. - The continuous growth of e-commerce logistics is a core driver, with the national express package processing volume reaching 7.23 billion during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays, pushing the e-commerce logistics business volume index to 132.9 points [6]. - The demand for automation in logistics is urgent, as labor costs account for 29% of logistics companies' warehousing costs, necessitating the replacement of manual labor with smart equipment [6]. Group 4: Policy and Technological Developments - National and local governments are collaborating to promote logistics data openness and the construction of intelligent supply chains, with various supportive policies being implemented [11]. - Technological advancements, such as improved navigation precision and the localization of components, are strengthening the foundation for development in the industry [11]. Group 5: Mining Machinery and Tunnel Equipment - The mining machinery and tunnel engineering equipment sectors are entering a golden period of upgrades, driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and carbon neutrality goals [12]. - The demand for deep earth mining is increasing, with non-road dump trucks showing significant operational hours, indicating their essential role in material flow [12]. - The export of mining machinery is growing, with excavator exports reaching 93,800 units in the first ten months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.43% [14]. Group 6: Investment Recommendations - Investment focus for 2026 should be on smart logistics equipment, particularly leading companies in the forklift sector, such as Anhui Heli and Hangcha Group, which are well-positioned to benefit from the trends of electrification and automation [15]. - In the mining machinery and tunnel construction equipment sector, companies like SANY Heavy Industry and Zoomlion are recommended due to their technological maturity and increasing export ratios [15].