港股复盘 | 港股温和走高 黄金股卷土重来

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a mild increase, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 27,266.38 points, up 83.23 points, a rise of 0.31% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5,499.99 points, increasing by 48.96 points, a rise of 0.90% [3] Sector Performance - Gold stocks showed strength after previous adjustments, with Zijin Mining International (HK02259) rising over 9%, Lingbao Gold over 6%, Shandong Gold over 4%, and Zijin Mining over 3% [5] - Wells Fargo noted that the recent pullback in gold prices is a healthy correction after significant increases, with spot gold prices down over 10% from record highs at the end of January, primarily due to profit-taking after a rise of over 30% above the 200-day moving average. The bank raised its 2026 gold price target to $6,100 to $6,300 per ounce, indicating over 20% upside potential due to geopolitical risks, market volatility, and strong central bank demand [7] - In the building materials sector, China National Building Material (HK03323) rose over 11%, China Resources Cement over 5%, and Western Cement over 3% [5] Future Outlook - Zhongyou Securities believes that the building materials sector will see significant valuation elasticity by 2026, with industries like waterproofing, coatings, and cement entering a phase of improvement. Price turning points are expected for gypsum boards, pipes, and glass as real estate and economic conditions improve. Short-term demand is currently weak, with a focus on post-Spring Festival demand and price increases [9] - According to招商证券, the recent volatility in the Hong Kong tech sector, represented by the Hang Seng Tech Index, is due to liquidity shocks, but the fundamental and bullish logic remains unchanged. A series of favorable factors are accumulating, and if the US dollar index begins to decline, the Hong Kong market will benefit from improved liquidity expectations [11] - 广发证券 anticipates a peak in lock-up stock releases from late February to early March, which could impact market liquidity. If the market adjusts before these releases, it may create a temporary bottom, suggesting potential investment opportunities following the Spring Festival [11]