2.11犀牛财经晚报：2026年全球手机产量恐面临10%下行风险

Group 1: Private Equity and Market Trends - The number of private equity managers in China exceeding 10 billion yuan has reached a historical high of 122 as of January 2026, indicating a strengthening "Matthew effect" in the private equity industry amid market recovery and improved risk appetite [1] - Over 90% of the private equity firms that reported performance in January achieved positive returns, with an average gain of 6.41% [1] Group 2: Legal and Regulatory Developments - The Shanghai Financial Court recently ruled on a case involving the Shanghai Securities Regulatory Commission, marking the first administrative case related to market manipulation in Shanghai [1] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission has warned the public about investment scams involving impersonation of well-known stock analysts, urging vigilance against such fraudulent activities [1] Group 3: Technology and Manufacturing - TrendForce reported that DRAM spot trading has slowed down due to the upcoming Lunar New Year, with limited short-term price increases expected [2] - Global smartphone production is projected to decline by 10% in 2026, with total production expected to drop to approximately 1.135 billion units, influenced by rising memory prices [2] Group 4: Commodities and Industry Performance - Nickel prices have continued to rise, with LME nickel prices reaching $17,780 per ton, as Indonesia plans to significantly reduce its nickel ore production [3] - In January 2026, the average profit in the electrolytic aluminum industry exceeded 7,500 yuan per ton, with the average price of SMM A00 spot aluminum rising by 1,840 yuan per ton [4] Group 5: Automotive Industry - The Chinese automotive industry maintained stable operations in January 2026, with production and sales of 2.45 million and 2.346 million vehicles, respectively [4] - The new energy vehicle market showed steady performance, with production and sales reaching 1.041 million and 945,000 units, reflecting year-on-year growth [4] Group 6: Corporate Announcements and Financial Performance - NetEase reported a total revenue of 112.6 billion yuan for 2025, with an operating profit of 35.8 billion yuan, marking a 21% year-on-year increase [8][9] - *ST Songfa announced a shipbuilding contract worth approximately $1.7 billion to $2 billion for constructing 15 super-large crude oil tankers [16]