欧洲央行：欧元区下半年薪资增长料将提速，支持利率维持稳定

Group 1 - The European Central Bank (ECB) expects wage growth in the Eurozone to accelerate in the second half of the year, supporting its judgment that interest rates can remain stable [1] - Wage growth is projected to rise by 2.7% year-on-year in Q4, up from 2.6% in Q3, although this is still below the peak of over 5% expected in 2024 [1] - The ECB noted that the increase in wage paths this year is related to the gradual dissipation of mechanical downward effects from large one-time payments expected in 2024 but not disbursed until 2025 [1] Group 2 - ECB President Lagarde expressed a high level of concern regarding wage trends amid ongoing uncertainties, as wages are seen as a potential risk for inflation due to their impact on service prices [1] - Lagarde stated that current inflation risks are "overall balanced," with upward pressures from rising energy prices and supply chain fragmentation, while downward pressures may arise from tariffs and a stronger euro [2]