HF Sinclair (DINO) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

Core Viewpoint - HF Sinclair (DINO) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite a decline in revenues for the quarter ending December 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant earnings picture that could influence the stock price in the near term [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on February 18, and if the key numbers exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is projected at $0.44 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +143.1%, while revenues are expected to be $6.23 billion, down 4.1% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 42.37%, indicating a reassessment by analysts of their initial estimates [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for HF Sinclair aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [12]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, HF Sinclair was expected to post earnings of $1.94 per share but exceeded this with actual earnings of $2.44, resulting in a surprise of +25.77% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Predictive Indicators - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold), with research indicating a nearly 70% success rate for this combination [10]. - HF Sinclair currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict a definitive earnings beat [12].