Devon Energy(US:DVN) ZACKS·2026-02-11 16:40Core Insights - Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) is anticipated to report a decline in both revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings set at 86 cents per share, reflecting a 25.9% decrease year-over-year [1][4]. Earnings Performance - Over the past 60 days, the earnings estimates for DVN have decreased by 10.4%, indicating a downward trend in expectations [1][4]. - Devon Energy has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 6.08% [2]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for DVN, as it has an Earnings ESP of -5.48% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [3][5]. Production Expectations - DVN expects its fourth-quarter production volume to be between 828-844 thousand barrels of oil equivalents per day (Mboe/d), with a consensus estimate of 841.1 Mboe/d, representing a 0.8% decline year-over-year [4][10]. Financial Management - Devon Energy continues to generate significant free cash flow, which is being utilized to strengthen its balance sheet, pay dividends, and buy back shares, potentially benefiting fourth-quarter earnings [7]. - Cost management initiatives are expected to lower operating costs, positively impacting earnings, while hedging strategies provide stability against market volatility in oil and gas prices [8]. Strategic Acquisitions - Recent strategic acquisitions have expanded Devon's operations and contributed to production volumes, with synergies from these assets likely to positively influence fourth-quarter earnings [9]. Valuation Metrics - Devon's shares are currently trading at a discount, with a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio of 4.45X compared to the industry average of 10.89X, indicating relative undervaluation [11]. Return on Equity - Devon's return on equity (ROE) stands at 18.14%, outperforming the industry average of 16.18%, suggesting effective utilization of shareholder funds [13].