达美航空2026年业绩展望与战略规划引关注

Financial Performance - The company has a positive outlook for fiscal year 2026, with expected earnings per share (EPS) close to $7.00 and free cash flow projected between $3 billion to $4 billion [2] - The target is to reduce the total leverage ratio to 2.0 times by the end of 2026, with market attention on the progress towards these goals, particularly regarding demand environment and corporate travel recovery sustainability [2] Project Development - The company has reached an agreement with Boeing to purchase 30 Boeing 787-10 wide-body aircraft, with an additional option for 30 more, scheduled for delivery starting in 2031 [3] - The new aircraft are expected to enhance fuel efficiency and high-end seat capacity, potentially impacting long-term profitability and competitive position [3] Financial Movements - The company is gradually reducing its debt levels, with adjusted net debt decreasing from $18 billion in Q3 2024 to $15.6 billion [4] - Plans are in place to evaluate shareholder return options, such as dividend growth or stock buybacks, before reaching the leverage target, with a reaffirmed $1 billion stock buyback plan effective until 2028 [4] Industry Policy and Environment - The airline industry is facing supply constraints and demand growth, with spring travel data for 2026 showing record passenger volumes and ticket prices expected to rise year-on-year [5] - The company's international routes, particularly transatlantic business, and accelerated corporate demand may serve as driving factors, although fluctuations in fuel prices and macroeconomic impacts need to be monitored [5] Institutional Perspectives - Recent institutions like Goldman Sachs and Barclays maintain "buy" or "overweight" ratings for the company, with target prices of $85 (Barclays) and potential upside (Goldman Sachs) [6] - Future rating adjustments or comments from management during earnings calls may attract market attention [6]