MGM & WYNN Betting on Earnings Comeback & Prediction Markets

Core Insights - The gaming sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with MGM reporting a solid quarter despite a challenging 2025, while expectations for Wynn and DraftKings are cautiously optimistic as they prepare for upcoming earnings reports [1][2][3]. MGM Insights - MGM faced a difficult 2025 with high single-digit declines in visitation and gross gaming revenue, but anticipates a better performance in 2026, particularly in the latter half of the year [2][3]. - Growth in Macau and the digital business is highlighted as a positive aspect of MGM's diversified operations, despite the stock underperforming in 2025 [3][4]. Wynn Insights - Wynn is positioned as a luxury play within the gaming sector, expected to perform better than mid-tier operators, with positive outlooks for both its Vegas operations and the recovering Macau market [5][6]. - The stock is trading at approximately 20 times earnings, with significant luxury assets and plans to open a property in the UAE by late 2026 [7]. DraftKings Insights - DraftKings is expected to exceed Q4 expectations, driven by a strong December performance, although guidance for 2026 may be slightly below expectations due to investments in prediction markets [9][10]. - The company is rolling out a prediction product in markets where sports betting is not available, and initial tracking indicates positive reception [11]. Market Trends - The luxury segment in the gaming and lodging industry is showing growth, while other segments are declining, reflecting a K-shaped economic recovery [5]. - The Chinese market is seen as a bright spot for gaming companies, particularly with the upcoming Chinese New Year [8].