Odds Trump Is Forced To Refund Tariffs Drop Sharply As Supreme Court Justice Warns Of Legal Complexity - Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Best Buy Co (NYSE:BBY)
Benzinga·2026-02-11 18:45

Company Impact - Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) has reduced its 2026 guidance, specifically citing tariff costs as a significant factor. The potential for a refund has been eliminated for the first half of the year, impacting the company's bottom line [3]. - General Motors (NYSE:GM) imports a substantial amount of components from Mexico. The ongoing tariffs, referred to as "Liberation Day" tariffs, will keep input costs elevated through Q2, affecting the company's financial performance [3]. Market Reaction - The odds on Polymarket that President Trump will be forced to refund tariffs have decreased to 28%, down from a high of 39% last week. This indicates a shift in market sentiment regarding the likelihood of a refund [2]. - The Supreme Court's timeline for any ruling on the tariffs is uncertain, with Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson indicating that legal challenges will face complex issues, suggesting that the court is not in a hurry to address the matter [1][2].