Core Insights - Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) is expected to report fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on February 17, 2026, with a consensus estimate of $1.88 per share and revenues of $2.25 billion [1][9] Group 1: Q3 Performance and Earnings History - In Q3, EXE reported adjusted earnings of 97 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 88 cents, attributed to strong production and higher natural gas prices, although revenues of $1.8 billion fell short of the $2 billion estimate [2] - EXE has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 4.9% [2] Group 2: Estimate Revisions and Year-over-Year Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 earnings has been revised upward by 16.8% in the past 30 days, indicating a 241.8% year-over-year increase, while the revenue estimate suggests a 40.9% rise compared to the previous year [4] Group 3: Factors Supporting Future Performance - EXE is positioned to benefit from rising natural gas demand due to LNG exports, AI/data centers, EV expansion, and electrification trends, with significant assets in the Haynesville and Marcellus basins [5] - The company has improved operational efficiency, reducing the number of rigs needed for production by nearly half compared to 2023, and has seen well costs in the Haynesville decrease by over 25% [5] - Enhanced marketing and optimization efforts have contributed tens of millions of dollars to revenue realizations, with expectations for further growth as commercial initiatives expand [6] Group 4: Earnings Prediction and Model Insights - The Zacks model indicates a likelihood of an earnings beat for EXE, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +2.62% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [10][11]
Expand Energy to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Offing?