Caterpillar On Track For Multi-Year EPS Recovery: Analyst

Core Viewpoint - Analyst Michael Feniger maintains a Buy rating for Caterpillar and raises the price forecast from $735 to $825 [1] Group 1: Customer Capital Expenditure - A key customer, The Williams Companies, has announced significant increases in capital expenditures for 2026, which is expected to enhance Caterpillar's business prospects and backlog, particularly in the turbine and engine sectors [2] Group 2: Earnings Performance - Caterpillar reported fourth-quarter 2025 financial results with sales and revenues of $19.133 billion, an 18% increase from $16.215 billion in the prior year. Adjusted profit per share was $5.16, surpassing the estimate of $4.66, while revenue exceeded the estimate of $17.851 billion [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The stock is exhibiting a strong bullish technical setup, trading significantly above all key moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum [5] - Caterpillar stock has entered overbought territory with an RSI of 73.61, suggesting potential for a pullback or consolidation. The MACD is above its signal line, confirming positive momentum [6] - A key support level is identified at $619.50, with no defined resistance level as the stock is at new highs. The golden cross in July 2025 confirmed the start of the current uptrend [7] Group 4: Stock Performance - Caterpillar stock has delivered a 12-month return of 113.44%, trading at 104.4% of its 52-week range and reaching a new 52-week high on February 11, 2026. It is currently 16% above its 20-day SMA and 24.3% above its 50-day SMA, indicating strong short-term and intermediate-term strength [8] - Despite the overbought RSI suggesting caution, the overall technical picture remains strongly bullish with clear upward momentum [9]