CME Group Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Core Viewpoint - CME Group Inc. is a leading global operator in contract markets with a market cap of $110.8 billion, providing a range of services including futures and options across various asset classes [1] Performance Summary - Over the past 52 weeks, CME stock has increased by 27.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index which rose by 14.7% [2] - Year-to-date, CME shares are up 12.9%, compared to a 1.7% gain for the S&P 500 Index [2] - CME stock has also outperformed the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), which returned 5.5% over the same period [3] Financial Results - For Q4 2025, CME reported an adjusted EPS of $2.77 and revenue of $1.65 billion, exceeding expectations [6] - The company achieved record full-year 2025 revenue of $6.5 billion, marking a 6% increase year-over-year [6] - Q4 average daily trading volume reached 27.4 million contracts, indicating strong trading activity [6] Analyst Expectations - Analysts project a 4.7% year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS for the fiscal year ending December 2026, estimating it to reach $11.73 [7] - CME has a positive earnings surprise history, having beaten consensus estimates in the last four quarters [7] - Among 17 analysts, the consensus rating for CME stock is a "Moderate Buy," with a mix of ratings including six "Strong Buy" and two "Moderate Sell" [7] Price Target Insights - J.P. Morgan analyst Ken Worthington has reiterated a "Sell" rating on CME Group with a price target of $266 [8] - The stock is currently trading above the mean price target of $300.93, with a Street-high price target of $340 suggesting an upside potential of 11.9% [8]