Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-11 23:56Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the U.S. non-farm payrolls added 130,000 jobs in January 2026, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 65,000, while the cumulative revisions for November and December were down by 17,000 [1] Group 1: Employment Data - The January non-farm payrolls data suggests a gradual improvement in the labor market, although the sustainability of this trend remains to be observed [1] - The absolute level of 130,000 new jobs in January is considered relatively high, but the concentration in a few sectors, such as healthcare, raises questions about its sustainability [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Outlook - The report maintains the view that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate cuts until June, with potential cuts of 1-2 times expected after the new Fed Chair takes office [1] - Given the overall moderate inflation and improving economic growth momentum, the downside risks to the labor market have significantly decreased [1]