APA (APA) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Facts

Core Viewpoint - APA is experiencing a mixed performance in the market, with a recent increase in stock price but facing significant declines in expected earnings and revenue for the upcoming quarter and full year [1][2][3]. Company Performance - APA closed at $28.26, marking a +2.95% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500, which saw a loss of 0.01% [1]. - Over the past month, APA shares have gained 6.73%, which is below the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 13.82% but better than the S&P 500's loss of 0.28% [1]. Earnings Forecast - The upcoming earnings release on February 25, 2026, is expected to show an EPS of $0.62, reflecting a 21.52% decline year-over-year [2]. - Revenue is projected at $1.92 billion, indicating a 23.24% decrease compared to the same quarter last year [2]. - Full-year estimates predict earnings of $3.48 per share and revenue of $8.84 billion, representing year-over-year declines of -7.69% and -9.19%, respectively [3]. Analyst Estimates - Recent changes in analyst estimates for APA indicate a downward revision of 13.18% in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the past month, leading to a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [6]. - Upward revisions in estimates typically suggest positive sentiment regarding the company's business operations and profit generation capabilities [4]. Valuation Metrics - APA's Forward P/E ratio is currently 13.17, which is lower than the industry average of 13.69, suggesting that APA is trading at a discount compared to its peers [7]. - The PEG ratio for APA stands at 12.55, significantly higher than the industry average PEG ratio of 1.57, indicating a potential overvaluation based on projected earnings growth [8]. Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, which includes APA, is currently ranked 233 out of over 250 industries, placing it in the bottom 5% [9]. - Historical data shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1, highlighting the challenges faced by companies in this sector [9].