SIASUN(SZ:300024) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-12 00:13Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing interest and investment in AI and semiconductor ETFs as the Chinese New Year approaches, highlighting the potential for significant market movements in these sectors due to upcoming technological advancements and seasonal trading patterns [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends and Investment Behavior - As the Chinese New Year approaches, AI applications and robotics are gaining attention, with investors anticipating new developments that could drive market interest post-holiday [1][6]. - Despite a market downturn since February, both semiconductor and robotics ETFs have seen net inflows, indicating continued investor confidence in these sectors [2][7]. - Data shows that the semiconductor equipment ETF Guotai (159516.SZ) has a net asset value of 9.011 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 1.04 billion yuan since February, while the robotics ETF Huaxia (159272.SZ) has a net asset value of 26.465 billion yuan and a net inflow of 818 million yuan [2][7]. Group 2: Seasonal Trading Patterns - Historical data indicates a strong "calendar effect" in the A-share market, with an 80% probability of the Shanghai Composite Index rising in the five trading days before the Spring Festival, and a median increase of 1.94% [3][8]. - The first trading week after the Spring Festival shows a 75% probability of an increase, with a median rise of 1.64%, and the following ten trading days maintain a 70% probability of gains [3][8]. Group 3: Industry Insights and Future Outlook - The semiconductor and robotics sectors are currently in the middle of an innovation cycle, with AI capital expenditures expected to remain high through 2026, suggesting a robust environment for growth [3][9]. - The hardware investment cycle in the current AI wave is significantly extended, with major global players expected to maintain strong capital expenditures in AI-related areas from 2026 to 2030 [4][9]. - Investment strategies are shifting towards a focus on detailed industry analysis, emphasizing the importance of identifying companies that can benefit from inflation and exhibit explosive growth potential [10].