Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-12 00:13Core Viewpoint - The A-share rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by rising prices and increasing demand in emerging fields such as humanoid robots and low-altitude economy applications [1][4][12]. Price Trends - Since the beginning of the year, rare earth prices have been on the rise, with the rare earth index reaching 703 points as of February 9, marking a 34.16% increase from early December [9][11]. - Specific product prices have also surged, with praseodymium oxide averaging 877,000 CNY/ton (up 43.42%) and neodymium oxide at 870,000 CNY/ton (up 42.62%) [9][11]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The current price increase is attributed to multiple factors, including tightened supply, surging demand, and low inventory levels. China's rare earth production capacity is the largest globally, but growth in mining output has slowed [3][11]. - Internationally, geopolitical issues in Myanmar and legal changes in Vietnam have restricted rare earth exports, exacerbating supply constraints [3][11]. - China's policies are increasingly focused on the sustainable development of the rare earth industry, with new regulations set to be implemented in the coming years [3][11]. Emerging Demand Sectors - The demand for rare earths is expected to grow significantly due to advancements in humanoid robotics and the low-altitude economy, particularly electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft [4][5][12]. - Projections indicate that by 2035, the demand for neodymium-boron magnets in these sectors could reach 33,000 tons, representing a 5.5% market share, with further growth anticipated by 2040 [5][12]. Company Performance - Among the 26 A-share rare earth permanent magnet stocks, 16 have reported earnings forecasts for 2025, with 15 companies expected to turn losses into profits or report increased earnings [6][14]. - Notable companies include: - Zhongke Sanhuan, with a projected net profit increase of 566.23% to 1.2 billion CNY [14]. - Shenghe Resources, expecting a profit increase of 281.28% to 910 million CNY [14]. - Jingli Permanent Magnet, with a forecasted profit increase of 127% [14]. - The overall profitability of the sector is improving, attracting institutional attention [6][14].