CAPCHEM(SZ:300037) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-11 06:44Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 9.64 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.1 billion yuan, up 16.6% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.09 billion yuan, up 14.5% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of 350 million yuan for Q4 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 45.5% and a year-on-year increase of 32.5% [1] - The estimated non-recurring net profit for Q4 2025 is 370 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53% and a year-on-year increase of 50% [1] - The company expects to ship over 80,000 tons of electrolyte in Q4 2025, a 35% year-on-year increase, and over 280,000 tons for the entire year, a 45% increase [1] Group 2: Profitability and Market Dynamics - The electrolyte segment is projected to contribute approximately 100 million yuan in profit for Q4, with a unit profit recovery to 1,200 yuan per ton, primarily driven by price increases in hexafluorophosphate and VC [1] - The company anticipates that the fluorochemical segment will generate around 200 million yuan in profit for Q4 2025, with a slight increase quarter-on-quarter [2] - The semiconductor cooling liquid product is expected to complete customer certification in 2026, leading to volume growth, while the fluorochemical segment is projected to contribute 1 billion yuan in profit, indicating a recovery in growth [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with a target price of 79.8 yuan, based on significant price increases for hexafluorophosphate and VC, and expected contributions from new products in the fluorochemical business [2] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.1 billion, 2.4 billion, and 2.98 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 17%, 118%, and 25% [2]