Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang·2026-02-12 04:28Core Viewpoint - The dye industry is experiencing a significant price increase driven by the rising costs of upstream intermediates, which is expected to continue in the short term and may accelerate industry consolidation [1][2][4]. Group 1: Price Trends - Several dye-related companies have announced price increases, with Zhejiang Longsheng Group reporting a rise of 5000 yuan/ton for certain disperse dyes [2]. - The price of key intermediates, particularly reducing agents, has surged to around 70,000 yuan/ton, contributing to the overall increase in dye prices [2]. - The current price increase is expected to last for 1-3 months, followed by a phase of high-level consolidation, with potential stabilization in the fourth quarter if demand does not improve significantly [3]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The rise in dye prices is anticipated to accelerate industry consolidation due to high raw material costs and stricter environmental regulations [4]. - Leading companies with integrated intermediate capabilities are likely to strengthen their market positions, potentially using a "volume compensates for price" strategy to expand their advantages [4]. - Companies without intermediate support may face profitability challenges due to high procurement costs and weak bargaining power, leading to a "high-price procurement, low-price sales" dilemma [4][5]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Companies lacking intermediate support need to seek breakthroughs by establishing long-term collaborations with intermediate suppliers or exploring high-end, functional, and environmentally friendly dye segments to avoid homogenization [5]. - Improvements in performance for companies without intermediate support will rely more on strategic adjustments and upgrades rather than an overall industry recovery [5].