Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2026-02-12 05:51Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning from oversupply to a phase of accelerated capacity clearance, with expectations of a more intense market correction in 2026 compared to 2025 due to weakening demand forecasts [1][4]. Group 1: Company Actions - Several photovoltaic companies, including Mingguan New Materials and Trina Solar, have announced project terminations or fund reallocations to more promising areas due to declining profitability in the photovoltaic packaging materials sector [2]. - Mingguan New Materials terminated its investment in a solar backplane production project, initially planned with a total investment of 5 billion yuan, citing industry competition and rising operational costs as reasons for the decision [2]. - Trina Solar plans to reduce funding for its original project and redirect the remaining funds to a new distributed smart photovoltaic power station project, which is expected to contribute a net profit of 94.91 million yuan annually [2]. Group 2: Production Halts - Some companies, such as Oujing Technology and Tianyi New Materials, have suspended production due to decreased demand from downstream customers, with production utilization rates as low as 14.66% for certain subsidiaries [3]. - *ST Green Kang, a company that crossed into the photovoltaic sector from veterinary medicine, has completely exited the photovoltaic industry by selling all related assets and liabilities to alleviate financial pressure [3]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant overcapacity, with analysts indicating that the supply-demand imbalance is worsening, leading to accelerated industry consolidation [4][5]. - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association projects that the new photovoltaic installation capacity in China for 2026 will be between 180 GW and 240 GW, a decrease of 24% to 43% compared to 2025's 315.07 GW [4]. - Globally, the new photovoltaic installation capacity is expected to decline slightly in 2026, with estimates ranging from 500 GW to 667 GW, down from 580 GW in 2025 [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategies - Despite the high levels of existing capacity, the industry may find a path to recovery through necessary market corrections, which could lead to a return to profitability and normal investment cycles [6]. - Companies are encouraged to explore diversification strategies, such as integrating photovoltaic technology with energy storage and hydrogen energy, to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single business line [8]. - Trina Solar has set ambitious performance targets, aiming for a net profit of no less than 200 million yuan in 2026, reflecting confidence in recovering profitability and growth in related sectors [8].