Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2026-02-12 07:25Core Viewpoint - The Chinese photovoltaic industry is facing significant cost pressures due to soaring silver prices, which have become the primary driver of increased costs, surpassing traditional materials like silicon [1][2]. Group 1: Silver Price Impact - Silver prices have shown a rising trend, with futures reaching 32,400 yuan/kg and spot prices hitting $121.64/oz by the end of January [1]. - The demand for silver in the photovoltaic sector has surged, consuming over 6,000 tons annually since 2020, accounting for nearly 20% of total silver demand [1]. - The cost of silver paste has increased, raising the complete cost of battery cells to over 0.5 yuan/W and components to over 0.9 yuan/W [2]. Group 2: Cost Transmission - A 10% increase in silver prices results in an approximate 0.01 yuan/W rise in the unit cost of photovoltaic components, with silver's share of raw material costs rising from 9% in 2024 to over 30% [2][3]. - The disparity between rising raw material costs and stagnant product prices has created a "scissors gap," squeezing profit margins for manufacturers [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The domestic market is experiencing a decline in project order execution, while overseas demand is expected to increase due to export tax incentives [4]. - The prices of copper and aluminum have also risen, further exacerbating cost pressures on photovoltaic components [4]. Group 4: Technological Responses - Companies are pursuing technological upgrades to reduce costs, with Longi Green Energy focusing on "cheap metalization" technology and JA Solar locking in suppliers to hedge against price fluctuations [5]. - Aiko Solar has successfully implemented a silver-free technology, significantly reducing costs and enhancing competitiveness [5]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that silver prices will remain high due to a widening supply-demand gap and increased industrial demand [6]. - The "space photovoltaic" concept discussed by Elon Musk is still in the ground verification stage and is not expected to significantly impact silver demand in the near term [6].