智通财经网·2026-02-12 07:38Group 1 - The Lunar New Year is identified as a critical release window for the Chinese consumer technology sector, with potential significant impacts from the new version of DeepSeek [1] - If the new DeepSeek version achieves a notable reduction in inference costs, AI could become economically viable for high-frequency consumer products, moving beyond standalone chatbot applications [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700) is expected to benefit the most from the potential new version of DeepSeek, followed by vertical leaders such as Trip.com Group (09961), Kuaishou (01024), and Beike (02423), while Alibaba (09988) and Baidu (09888) may experience mixed effects [1] Group 2 - Independent model vendors like Zhiyun (02513) and MiniMax-WP (00100) have flagship models released or upcoming, with their impact more focused on capability signaling and technology spillover rather than immediate customer acquisition [2] - DeepSeek's preference for open-source over short-term commercialization suggests that its competitive effects will spread through recognition of model quality and validated technological directions [2] - If the upcoming release includes genuine efficiency or systemic breakthroughs, these methods could rapidly disseminate within the ecosystem, raising industry benchmarks and compressing iteration cycles [2] - The positive outlook on Zhiyun AI and MiniMax is reaffirmed, with their capability enhancements most directly reflected in the API monetization process [2]