降息梦碎，黄金静待破局！

Group 1 - Gold prices reached a high of approximately $5,118 before closing at $5,084.34, marking an increase of over 1% [1] - Silver prices rose by 4.34%, closing at $84.3, before slightly declining to around $83.75 [1] - The U.S. stock market saw slight declines, with the Dow Jones down 0.13%, Nasdaq down 0.16%, and S&P 500 down 0.01% [1] Group 2 - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 in January, significantly exceeding the expected 70,000, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.3%, the lowest since August 2025 [3] - The employment data led traders to push back the expected timing for the next Federal Reserve rate cut from June to July, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in March dropping from 19.6% to 6% [3] - The U.S. Congress passed a resolution opposing President Trump's tariffs on Canada, indicating a rare rebuke of Trump within the Republican-controlled House [5] Group 3 - There are significant uncertainties regarding the future of the USMCA, as Trump is reportedly considering withdrawing from the agreement, which could impact trade negotiations with Canada and Mexico [6] - Analysts suggest that the U.S. stock market is transitioning from a "one-sided rise" to a "painful adjustment," facing dual pressures from AI concerns in the tech sector and tightening liquidity [6] Group 4 - Discussions between U.S. and Israeli leaders focused on potential outcomes if negotiations with Iran fail, with both sides expressing skepticism about reaching an agreement [8] - The U.S. military is preparing for possible actions against Iran, with increased deployments in the Middle East, while Israel is enhancing its defense capabilities [10] - Ukraine's President Zelensky indicated that territorial issues will be central in upcoming talks with the U.S., suggesting potential flexibility in negotiations to achieve a ceasefire and security guarantees [10]