刘福云:黄金日内行情分析 金价涨跌预测

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices increased by over 1% on February 12, driven by strong long-term buying despite initial fluctuations as the market digested robust U.S. employment reports [1][4] Economic Indicators - U.S. employment growth accelerated unexpectedly in January, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.3%, indicating stability in the labor market which may allow the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates for a period [1][4] - Economists predict that the Federal Reserve will keep the key interest rate unchanged for the remainder of Chairman Powell's term, but may lower rates immediately in June [1][4] - There is an increasing risk of overly accommodative Federal Reserve policies under potential successor Walsh [1][4] Market Analysis - The technical outlook for gold shows a slow bullish trend, having successfully broken through key resistance levels, with the current structure remaining bullish [1][4] - The recent price action indicates a digestion and confirmation process following a significant upward movement last Friday, with the market recognizing a short-term rebound trend [1][4] - Current market dynamics suggest a lack of significant upward expansion, indicating potential fatigue in bullish momentum [1][4] Trading Strategy - The trading strategy suggests a focus on a range-bound approach, with short-term resistance levels identified at 5083-5100 and a key level at 5140, while support levels are noted at 5020-5000 and a critical level at 4970 [2][5]