路透调查：欧洲央行料按兵不动直至年底，延续负利率时代以来最长稳定期

Core Viewpoint - Despite increasing geopolitical risks, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain the deposit rate at least at 2.00% until the end of this year, marking the longest period of rate stability since the era of negative interest rates [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - The Eurozone's inflation rate dropped to a 16-month low of 1.7% in January, prompting some policymakers to warn about the potential for excessive slowing of price growth, while the economy remains resilient [1][3]. - Economists surveyed from February 9 to 12 generally maintain long-term expectations that interest rates will remain stable, inflation will be close to target levels, and economic growth will remain steady [1][3]. - Among 74 forecasters, 66 believe the ECB will keep rates unchanged at least until 2027, a view that has not changed since October of last year [1][3]. Group 2: Inflation and Growth Projections - The Eurozone economy is projected to grow by 1.2% this year, following a 1.5% increase last year, with a further growth of 1.4% expected in 2027, supported by optimistic expectations regarding infrastructure spending [2][4]. - The average inflation rate for this quarter is expected to be 1.7%, rising to 1.9% in the next quarter, with an average inflation rate of 1.8% anticipated for this year and 2.0% for next year, remaining largely unchanged since March of last year [2][4]. - Some analysts believe that a stronger euro may exacerbate the pressure of slowing inflation, although the trade-weighted index indicates no warning signals at this time [2][4].