甲骨文融资计划与评级变动引关注，股价波动显著

Core Insights - Oracle announced a plan to raise up to $50 billion through bond and equity financing to meet cloud infrastructure demands from major clients like AMD, Meta, and NVIDIA, raising concerns among investors about increasing debt levels [1] - A significant stock price increase occurred following an upgrade in institutional ratings, reflecting short-term optimism regarding Oracle's cloud business prospects [1] - Oracle faces challenges in financing due to difficulties in expanding AI data centers, with several U.S. banks halting loans, leading to plans for layoffs of 20,000 to 30,000 employees and potential sale of its healthcare software division, Cerner [1] Stock Performance - Oracle's stock price exhibited notable volatility over a recent seven-day period, with a closing price of $142.82 on February 6, rising by 9.64% to $156.59 on February 9, and further increasing by 2.11% to $159.89 on February 10, before a slight pullback to $157.16 on February 11, and closing at $155.65 on February 12, resulting in a cumulative increase of 14.05% and a trading range of 19.40% [2] - Despite the recent gains, the stock price has declined approximately 19.92% year-to-date, indicating market caution regarding long-term debt risks [2] Institutional Perspectives - In February 2026, 44 institutions provided ratings on Oracle, with 77% recommending buy or hold, 20% holding, and 3% suggesting sell, indicating a target average price of $276.47, suggesting significant upside potential compared to current stock prices [3] - Bernstein's report on February 12, 2026, posited that even if AI clients like OpenAI completely withdrew, Oracle's valuation floor would be $137 per share, indicating limited downside risk, while an optimistic scenario could see a target price of $313, suggesting that market concerns about AI dependency may be overvalued [3] - D.A. Davidson upgraded its rating to "buy" on February 10, 2026, with a target price of $180, asserting that the core software business valuation has accounted for risks, and the cloud infrastructure business has potential for upward growth [3]