Benzinga·2026-02-12 16:53Core Viewpoint - Western Digital's stock has surged 970% over the past year, driven by AI storage demand, margin expansion, and strategic spin-offs, indicating a significant shift in the company's business model towards AI infrastructure rather than traditional memory chips [1][14]. Financial Performance - In fiscal Q2 2026, Western Digital reported revenue of $2.655 billion, shipping 215 exabytes of storage, with gross margins reaching 46.1%, a notable increase from the previous year [3]. - The company anticipates full-year fiscal 2026 revenue to approximately double, exceeding $12 billion, supported by multi-year procurement agreements with major customers [3][4]. Technology and Innovation - Western Digital is investing in Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) technology, which is expected to significantly reduce costs associated with AI storage over the next decade [4][5]. - The flagship product is a 40TB UltraSMR drive, with plans for volume production by late 2026, and a target of 100TB per drive by 2029 [5][6]. - New technologies, such as 'High Bandwidth Drive' and 'Dual Pivot' design, are set to enhance throughput and energy efficiency, addressing the needs of data centers [7][8]. Market Position and Strategy - Western Digital has transitioned from a cyclical hardware company to a near-monopoly supplier of scalable AI data storage, with long-term contracts and a clear technology roadmap [14]. - The company has locked in supply agreements with major cloud service providers like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, indicating a shift towards infrastructure rather than traditional hardware sales [4][10]. Investment Opportunities - The separation of Western Digital and Sandisk has created distinct investment opportunities, allowing investors to capitalize on different market cycles related to AI infrastructure and NAND flash [9][11]. - Management has set ambitious long-term targets, including revenue growth of over 20% per year and gross margins above 50%, alongside a $6 billion share buyback program [12][13]. Industry Outlook - Demand for storage exabytes is projected to grow over 25% annually in the next five years, with AI and cloud services now constituting approximately 90% of Western Digital's revenue [13]. - Institutional ownership has increased to 92%, reflecting investor confidence following the company's restructuring [13].