Darden Restaurants Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Company Overview - Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) has a market cap of approximately $25.1 billion and is one of the largest full-service restaurant operators in the U.S., known for brands like Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse [1] Stock Performance - DRI stock has increased by 7.6% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which has risen by 14.4%. However, on a year-to-date basis, DRI shares are up 14.3%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.4% gain [2] - The company has also outperformed the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY), which returned 4.6% over the past 52 weeks [3] Strategic Decisions - On February 3, DRI shares rose by 2.3% following the announcement of the completion of a strategic review for its Bahama Breeze brand, which will involve the permanent closure of 14 locations and the conversion of the remaining 14 into other Darden concepts. These closures are expected to be finalized by April 5, 2026, with conversions occurring over the next 12–18 months. Management indicated that this move will not have a material financial impact and aims to strengthen other brands within its portfolio while supporting employees by placing them in other roles across Darden's network [4] Financial Projections - For the fiscal year ending in May 2026, analysts project DRI's adjusted EPS to grow by 10.7% year-over-year to $10.57. The company's earnings surprise history has been mixed, with one out of the last four quarters exceeding consensus estimates and three missing [5] - Among the 31 analysts covering DRI, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 19 "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," and 11 "Holds" [5]