Why Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Core Viewpoint - Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates in the upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of performance in this regard [1]. Earnings Performance - The company has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 20.64% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, AAP achieved earnings of $0.92 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.74 per share, resulting in a surprise of 24.32% [3]. - For the previous quarter, AAP was expected to report earnings of $0.59 per share but delivered $0.69 per share, yielding a surprise of 16.95% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for AAP have been trending upward, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) for AAP is currently positive at +1.22%, suggesting bullish expectations for near-term earnings [8]. - AAP's Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat [8]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7]. - The next earnings report for AAP is anticipated to be released on February 13, 2026 [8].