How to Approach Wells Fargo Stocks as It Gains 14.2% in 6 Months?

Core Insights - Wells Fargo's shares have increased by 14.2% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 11.3% [1]. - The bank's peers, Citigroup and Bank of America, have seen their shares rise by 24% and 14%, respectively, during the same period [1]. Performance and Growth Drivers - The removal of the asset cap by the Federal Reserve in June 2025 allows Wells Fargo to expand its balance sheet, grow deposits, and increase loan balances, which is expected to drive loan growth in 2026 [4][5]. - Wells Fargo anticipates a net interest income (NII) of $50 billion in 2026, supported by balance-sheet growth and changes in loan mix [10][5]. - The bank's net interest income has shown a four-year compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.5% as of 2025 [8]. Strategic Initiatives - Wells Fargo is focusing on cost-cutting measures, including a 5.9% reduction in headcount and refurbishing 700 branches to enhance efficiency [5][16]. - The bank is also advancing its operational transformation through a phased rollout of artificial intelligence (AI) tools, which is expected to improve productivity and customer service [17]. - The company is pursuing a multi-year simplification plan to exit non-core businesses, aiming to cut costs by up to $10 billion annually and reallocate capital to higher-return areas [21][25]. Capital Management - Wells Fargo has raised its common stock dividend by 12.5% to 45 cents per share and has a robust share repurchase program with an additional $40 billion authorized [26][27]. - The bank's liquidity coverage ratio stands at 119%, exceeding the regulatory minimum, with liquid assets totaling $174.2 billion as of December 31, 2025 [28][29]. Valuation and Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates earnings growth of 9.9% and 12.8% for 2026 and 2027, respectively, although estimates have been revised downward recently [30]. - Wells Fargo's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.71X, lower than the industry average of 14.29X, suggesting the stock is reasonably priced [32]. Conclusion - The removal of the asset cap and improved balance-sheet flexibility mark a significant turning point for Wells Fargo, enhancing its long-term outlook [35]. - Despite recent positive momentum, there are concerns regarding elevated expenses and downward revisions to earnings estimates, leading to a balanced risk-reward profile for investors [36][37].