中欧基金价值组基金经理罗佳明 港股重构之年！看好三大方向

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to continue the trends of 2025 into 2026, which may be a "reconstruction year" [2][3] Investment Focus Areas - The company is optimistic about three main sectors: 1. Technology sector, focusing on internet, electronic semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2][4] 2. Upstream resource commodities, such as oil and coal, which may present good investment opportunities [2][5] 3. Outbound enterprises, with many globally competitive companies in the Hong Kong stock market worth attention [2][6] Market Trends and Variables - In the first half of 2026, the market is likely to favor strong performers, with domestic demand undergoing structural adjustments and the U.S. continuing its monetary easing [3][4] - Two key variables to monitor in the second half of 2026 include: 1. Stability of housing prices in first-tier cities, which could lead to valuation recovery in undervalued sectors like consumption, building materials, and real estate [4] 2. Potential inflation rebound and interest rate hikes following the U.S. midterm elections, which could impact global assets [4] Technology Sector Insights - The technology sector is expected to benefit from global capital and talent influx, with a focus on AI, semiconductors, and energy supply chains [5][6] - The "sell shovels" strategy is recommended, focusing on essential components for AI, such as domestic semiconductors and energy infrastructure [5] Upstream Resource Outlook - The company has maintained a positive outlook on upstream resource commodities for several years, anticipating opportunities in oil and coal if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates and global industrialization continues [5][6] Outbound Enterprises Potential - Outbound enterprises are seen as a concentrated investment opportunity, with many capable of thriving beyond single market cycles and expected to grow in the future [6][7]