Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on Targa Resources Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) has a market capitalization of $46.6 billion and operates a diversified portfolio of natural gas, NGL, and crude oil assets across North America, providing integrated services in energy commodities [1] Performance Summary - Over the past 52 weeks, TRGP stock has increased by 7.7%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which rose by 14.9%. However, on a year-to-date basis, TRGP shares are up 18.6%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.8% gain [2] - TRGP stock has also underperformed compared to the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), which returned 19.7% over the same period [3] Financial Highlights - On November 5, 2025, Targa Resources reported a record Q3 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $1.27 billion, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase, driven by record volumes in Permian, NGL transportation, and fractionation [5] - The company raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook to the upper end of the range, estimating between $4.65 billion and $4.85 billion, and announced several growth projects, including new gas plants and pipeline expansions [5] Earnings Expectations - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, analysts project TRGP's EPS to increase by 45.8% year-over-year to $8.37. The company's earnings surprise history shows mixed results, beating consensus estimates once in the last four quarters while missing three times [6] - Among 22 analysts covering TRGP, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with 18 "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," and three "Holds" [6] Analyst Ratings - Morgan Stanley raised its price target for Targa Resources to $266, maintaining an "Overweight" rating. The stock is currently trading above the mean price target of $210.91, with the highest price target of $266 indicating a potential upside of 21.5% from current levels [7]