Stock Performance - As of February 13, the stock price of LianTe Technology was 185.42 yuan, down 4.32% for the day, with a trading volume of 856 million yuan and a turnover rate of 6.73% [2] - The stock exhibited a wide fluctuation range of 32.25% over the past month, with a high of 229.90 yuan and a low of 172.80 yuan [2] Capital Flow - Recent capital flow indicates increased short-term volatility, with a net inflow of 52.42 million yuan on February 12, leading to a 5.07% price increase, followed by a net outflow on February 13, resulting in a cumulative net outflow of 343 million yuan over the past five days [3] - Retail investor funds showed a contrary net inflow, reflecting market participant divergence [3] Operational Performance - The company reported a single-quarter revenue of 342 million yuan and a net profit of 46.99 million yuan for Q3 2025, with a gross margin increase to 42.66% [4] - The shipment proportion of 800G optical modules rose to 72%, while 1.6T products are currently in the customer sampling phase [4] Financial Condition - For the first three quarters of 2025, the net cash flow from operating activities was -108 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 321.93%, with accounts receivable surging by 115% and inventory increasing by 66% [5] - Over 90% of optical chips are imported, raising concerns about supply chain stability [5] Valuation - The current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 213.86 times, significantly higher than the average industry level of 40-50 times, indicating high market expectations for performance realization [6] Technical Indicators - The stock price has fallen below the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages, indicating weak short-term momentum [7] - Bollinger Bands show a resistance level at 224.28 yuan and a support level at 179.23 yuan [7] Sector Performance - The communication equipment sector declined by 1.52% on February 13, underperforming the broader market, with overseas tech stock pullbacks negatively impacting sentiment in the A-share optical module market [8] - Overall, the stock's volatility is attributed to a combination of high growth expectations, valuation bubbles, financial risks, technical adjustments, and external market fluctuations [8]
联特科技股价震荡：业绩增长与估值压力并存