智通财经网·2026-02-13 06:46Core Viewpoint - The report from Guolian Minsheng Securities indicates that by 2026, the resonance between assets and liabilities is expected to support the continued recovery of insurance valuations [1] Group 1: Insurance Fund Scale and Growth - The balance of insurance funds is projected to reach 38.5 trillion yuan by the end of Q4 2025, representing a 15.7% increase from Q4 2024 and a 2.7% increase from Q3 2025 [1] - By the end of Q4 2025, the fund utilization balance for life insurance companies and property insurance companies is expected to be 34.7 trillion yuan and 2.4 trillion yuan, respectively, with increases of 15.7% and 8.8% from Q4 2024, and 2.8% and 1.2% from Q3 2025 [1] - Life insurance companies account for 90.1% of the total insurance fund utilization balance, reflecting a strong demand for life insurance products driven by residents' "savings transfer" needs and adjustments in product interest rates [1] Group 2: Asset Allocation of Life Insurance Companies - As of Q4 2025, life insurance companies have allocated 20.37 trillion yuan to fixed income assets and 7.98 trillion yuan to equity assets, marking increases of 3.4% and 1.2% from Q3 2025 [2] - The proportion of fixed income assets and equity assets in the total fund utilization balance of life insurance companies is 58.8% and 23.0%, respectively, with a slight increase of 0.4 percentage points and a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from Q3 2025 [2] - The increase in the allocation to fixed income assets is attributed to heightened volatility in the equity market, prompting life insurance companies to stabilize investment returns [2] Group 3: Asset Allocation of Property Insurance Companies - By the end of Q4 2025, property insurance companies have allocated 1.37 trillion yuan to fixed income assets and 0.55 trillion yuan to equity assets, with increases of 1.9% and 0.3% from Q3 2025 [3] - The allocation proportions for fixed income and equity assets in the total fund utilization balance of property insurance companies are 56.7% and 22.9%, reflecting an increase of 0.4 percentage points and a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from Q3 2025 [3] - The increase in the allocation to cash and stocks is driven by the high demand for liquid assets during the year-end claims peak and regulatory adjustments to attract insurance capital into the market [3]