超频三2025年预亏超9000万 散热业务增长但锂电池业务承压

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a net loss of 90 million to 130 million yuan for the year 2025, indicating a reduction in losses compared to the previous year, primarily due to intensified competition in the lithium-ion battery materials business and inventory destocking [1][2]. Business Performance - The company's business includes cooling products (such as liquid cooling solutions for data centers), lithium-ion battery materials, and smart lamp posts. The cooling technology is driven by innovations like the NVIDIA Rubin cooling system, which may benefit from the growing demand for AI computing power. However, the lithium battery business faces challenges from industry policy adjustments, such as the "Comprehensive Solid Waste Management Action Plan" set for December 2025 and the emphasis on capacity control discussed in a January 2026 meeting by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, which may impact price transmission and profitability [3]. Financial Status - As of January 23, 2026, the company's total external guarantees reached 232 million yuan, accounting for 40.82% of the net assets for 2024. Although there are no overdue guarantees, the high guarantee amount may increase debt repayment pressure. Additionally, the company's interest-bearing asset-liability ratio was 43.24% as of the third quarter of 2025, indicating a need for ongoing attention to cash flow conditions [4]. Stock Performance - The recent stock price has been influenced by sentiment in the semiconductor sector and capital flows, with a closing price of 6.80 yuan on February 6, 2026, and a turnover rate of 2.52%. The trend of main capital is not clear, and the distribution of shares is scattered, indicating potential short-term volatility risks [5].