Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China continues to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, which supports the long-term growth potential of the economy [1][8]. Monetary Policy - As of the end of January 2026, the broad money supply (M2) reached 347.19 trillion yuan, growing by 9% year-on-year, while the total social financing scale was 449.11 trillion yuan, with an 8.2% year-on-year increase [2]. - The central bank has introduced a series of monetary policies to support the real economy, including adjustments to relending tools and interest rates, aimed at enhancing credit support for key sectors such as private enterprises, technology innovation, and green consumption [8][11]. Credit Growth - By the end of January 2026, the balance of RMB loans was 276.62 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.1%. Notably, inclusive small and micro loans increased by 11.6%, and medium to long-term loans in the service sector (excluding real estate) rose by 9.2%, both outpacing the overall loan growth rate [10]. - The first quarter typically sees increased credit issuance, with significant project approvals and a focus on infrastructure lending contributing to a robust credit environment [11]. Fiscal Policy - The fiscal policy has been actively promoting economic growth, with a deficit ratio raised to 4%, and new government bond issuance reaching nearly 1.4 trillion yuan, accounting for about 40% of the increase in social financing [13]. - In 2026, the government plans to continue implementing proactive fiscal policies, with expectations for an increase in government bond issuance to nearly 1.5 trillion yuan [14]. Economic Outlook - Market institutions anticipate that China's economy will maintain a steady growth trajectory in 2026, with improvements in various economic indicators and a positive outlook from the World Bank and IMF, which have raised their growth forecasts for China [14]. - The combination of stable domestic policies, a large market scale, and strong technological innovation capabilities positions China favorably amidst global uncertainties, enhancing its long-term growth potential [14].
刚刚,利好来了!火速解读
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2026-02-13 11:32