Dan Ives: Software 'doomsday' scenario is extremely overblown
Youtube·2026-02-13 11:40

Core Viewpoint - The current capital expenditure (capex) in big tech is projected to reach between $650 billion and $700 billion, indicating an acceleration in spending that may exceed initial expectations [1] Group 1: Capital Expenditure Insights - The capex spending in technology is expected to have a multiplier effect of 8 to 10 across various sectors, suggesting a significant positive impact on tech infrastructure and energy [2] - The current selloff in the software sector is perceived as disconnected from the actual potential and growth opportunities within the industry [5] - The ongoing AI revolution is anticipated to create substantial use cases for software companies, with Salesforce and ServiceNow identified as key players in this transformation [4][6] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Opportunities - There is a belief that the market is miscalculating the ripple effects of capex spending, leading to a mispricing of certain software stocks [4][7] - The presence of dark fiber infrastructure from previous tech booms raises concerns about underutilized resources, but the current landscape is viewed as more promising due to real use cases [9][10] - Big tech companies are noted to have substantial cash reserves, which positions them favorably for future growth and innovation in areas like autonomous technology and robotics [12]