Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-13 13:04Group 1 - The core point of the news is that under Indonesia's tightening nickel supply policy, the joint venture PT Weda Bay Nickel has received preliminary notification from Indonesian authorities to submit an annual work plan and budget with a production quota of 12 million tons, significantly down from previous approvals [1][3] - The initial work plan approved for 2025 was 32 million tons, which was later raised to 42 million tons, indicating a reduction of over 71% in the current year's mining quota [3][4] - Indonesia is the world's largest nickel producer, and the annual work plan and budget (RKAB) must be approved by the government to regulate production quotas and operational arrangements [3][4] Group 2 - The Indonesian government plans to set the total nickel mining production quota for 2026 between 260 million and 270 million tons, which is a decrease of about 30% compared to 379 million tons in 2025 [4][5] - Analysts suggest that Indonesia's policy aims to "raise resource value" by tightening nickel supply to increase prices and attract more investors, especially in light of recent low nickel prices [5][6] - There is a projected gap of 30 million to 40 million tons in nickel supply for 2026, indicating a potential shift from a relatively loose market in 2025 to a systemic shortage if the Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources does not approve additional quotas [5][6] Group 3 - Companies like Greenmei have responded to the tightening supply by terminating plans for capital increases in their Indonesian subsidiary, which has a production capacity of 50,000 tons of high-nickel battery precursor materials [6][7] - Greenmei has secured long-term supply agreements with major nickel suppliers in Indonesia to ensure production needs are met despite the reduced quotas [6][7] - Huayou Cobalt has also indicated that its nickel supply will be secured through joint ventures and long-term supply agreements, with market-based procurement as a supplement [6][7] Group 4 - Despite expectations of supply shortages, nickel prices have not shown a sustained upward trend recently, with the main contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange dropping by 3.66% to 135,200 yuan per ton [8][9] - Analysts note that while nickel prices have begun to rise, the market is still experiencing a slight supply-demand gap, suggesting a potential upward trend in prices over the long term [9]