俄央行下调基准利率至15.5%

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Russia has lowered the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 15.5%, indicating a continued balanced growth in the Russian economy and a forecasted decline in inflation rates [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Changes - The Central Bank of Russia announced a reduction in the benchmark interest rate from 16% to 15.5% [1] - This marks a continuation of the rate cuts that began in June 2025, when the rate was first lowered from a historical high of 21% [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The Central Bank noted that the fundamental indicators of price growth have not changed significantly, and inflation is expected to resume a downward trend after the impact of one-time factors dissipates [1] - The bank forecasts an annual inflation rate of 4.5% to 5.5% for Russia by 2026 [1] Group 3: Future Rate Decisions - Future decisions regarding the benchmark interest rate will depend on the sustainability of domestic inflation slowdown and the dynamics of inflation expectations [1] - Current inflation risks are primarily associated with geopolitical uncertainties, deteriorating external trade conditions, and fluctuations in international oil prices affecting the local currency exchange rate [1]