银行保险机构权益投资信心指数显著上升

Core Insights - The investment confidence index for fixed income investments among banking and insurance institutions has decreased compared to the previous year, while the confidence index for equity investments has significantly increased [1] - The optimism in investment confidence is attributed to positive expectations regarding the economy and policies, which may lead to more long-term capital entering the market, supporting stable development in the capital market [1] Group 1: Investment Confidence Indices - In Q1 2026, the macroeconomic confidence index for banking and insurance institutions is 58.08, the fixed income investment confidence index is 51.20, and the equity investment confidence index is 67.55, showing a decline in fixed income confidence and a rise in equity confidence compared to Q1 2025 [1] - For the entire year of 2026, the macroeconomic confidence index is 57.41, the fixed income investment confidence index is 55.63, and the equity investment confidence index is 67.61, indicating a similar trend of declining fixed income confidence and rising equity confidence [3] Group 2: Factors Supporting A-Share Market - The A-share market is supported by three main factors: policy support, increased capital inflow, and corporate earnings growth, with a current liquidity environment remaining ample [2] - The confidence index for corporate earnings in Q1 2026 is 64.80, and for the overall A-share market trend, it is 78.74, indicating strong expectations for market performance [2] Group 3: Structural Opportunities - The market is expected to transition from valuation-driven growth to profit-driven growth, with structural opportunities remaining prevalent throughout the year [4] - The anticipated improvement in corporate earnings and the potential for valuation uplift in A-shares are expected to contribute positively to market indices [4] Group 4: Strategic Asset Allocation - Insurance institutions are adopting a "barbell" strategy in asset allocation, focusing on high-dividend, stable profit stocks as a defensive measure while also investing in high-growth assets [5] - Enhanced risk management practices are being implemented, with stricter monitoring thresholds for equity exposure, industry concentration, and volatility [5]