Cost Pressure or Merchant Solutions Power Play? GPN Heads Into Q4

Core Insights - Global Payments Inc. (GPN) is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 18, 2026, with earnings estimated at $3.18 per share and revenues at $2.32 billion [1] Earnings Estimates - The fourth-quarter earnings estimate has seen one upward revision in the past 60 days, indicating a year-over-year increase of 7.8% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues suggests a year-over-year growth of 1.4% [2] - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate stands at $9.31 billion, reflecting a 1.8% year-over-year rise, while the EPS estimate is $12.22, indicating a 5.8% increase year-over-year [3] Recent Performance - GPN has beaten the consensus estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 1.9% [3] Earnings Whispers - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for GPN, with an Earnings ESP of -1.26% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4] Segment Performance - GPN's Merchant Solutions and Issuer Solutions segments are expected to show growth in Q4 [7] - Merchant Solutions' adjusted revenues are estimated to increase by 0.3% from the previous year's $1.76 billion, with adjusted operating income expected to grow by 3.4% from $852 million [8] - Issuer Solutions' adjusted revenues are projected to rise by 4.4% from $542.1 million, with adjusted operating income expected to increase by 5.8% from $254.4 million [9] Cost Expectations - Adjusted costs of service are anticipated to rise by 4% year-over-year, with total operating costs expected to be around $1.3 billion for the quarter [10] Regional Revenue Insights - Revenue from Europe is expected to decrease by 56.3% year-over-year, while revenues from the Americas are projected to fall by approximately 46% [11] - Conversely, revenues from the Asia Pacific region are expected to grow by 8.3% year-over-year [11]