Should You Buy, Sell or Hold SSRM Stock Before Q4 Earnings Release?

Core Viewpoint - SSR Mining Inc. is expected to report a significant year-over-year improvement in earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025, with an estimated earnings per share of 66 cents, reflecting a 560% increase from 10 cents in the fourth quarter of 2024 [1][5]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter (Q4 2025) is 66 cents per share, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 560% [2]. - For the current year (2025), the earnings estimate is $1.79 per share, and for the next year (2026), it is projected at $3.97 per share [2]. - The number of estimates for the current quarter is 1, while there are 2 estimates for both the current and next year [2]. Earnings Surprise History - SSR Mining has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 85% [3]. Production and Performance Factors - SSR Mining reported an 18% year-over-year increase in gold equivalent production for the first nine months of 2025, totaling 326,940 ounces, largely due to the acquisition of the Cripple Creek & Victor mine [7]. - The Marigold mine saw a 2% year-over-year increase in gold production during the same period, maintaining a production guidance of 160,000-190,000 ounces for 2025 [8]. - The Seabee mine experienced a 9.1% year-over-year decline in gold output due to a temporary suspension, with a projected output of 70,000-80,000 ounces for 2025 [9]. - Despite challenges at the Çöpler mine, SSR Mining anticipates gold production in the lower half of 410,000-480,000 gold equivalent ounces for 2025 [10]. Market Conditions - Gold prices remained near record highs in the October-December period, supported by central bank demand and uncertainty in U.S. trade policies, benefiting SSR Mining and other gold mining stocks [12]. - Higher production levels and gold prices are expected to positively impact the company's earnings, although costs related to the Çöpler mine may offset some gains [13]. Stock Performance and Valuation - SSR Mining shares have increased by 183.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 56.5% [14]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 6.63X, which is below the industry average of 16.43X [16]. - SSR Mining's valuation is more attractive compared to peers like Hudbay Minerals and Wheaton Precious Metals [18]. Investment Outlook - SSR Mining has a diversified portfolio with a strong production profile, particularly at the Marigold mine, which is expected to grow significantly by 2027 [18]. - The company is actively investing in projects like Hod Maden, with a focus on engineering and development to enhance its asset portfolio [19]. - Overall, SSR Mining is well-positioned for growth, driven by solid assets and rising gold prices, although mine closures warrant caution for new investors [21].