Dollar Tree Stock: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Company Overview - Dollar Tree, Inc. is based in Chesapeake, Virginia and was founded in 1986, operating retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the U.S. and Canada. The company has a market capitalization of $24.9 billion and offers a variety of everyday consumables including food, candy, health, and personal care products [1]. Stock Performance - Dollar Tree's shares have outperformed the broader market over the past year, surging 73% over the last 52 weeks and growing 1.6% year-to-date. In comparison, the S&P 500 Index has returned 14.4% over the past year and risen 1.4% in 2026 [2]. - The stock has also outperformed the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF, which rose 9.7% over the past 52 weeks, but lagged behind its 13.8% increase this year [3]. Earnings Report - On December 3, Dollar Tree shares rose 3.6% following the release of its Q3 2025 earnings. The company's revenue declined 37.2% year-over-year to $4.8 billion, but still exceeded Wall Street estimates. Additionally, its adjusted EPS was $1.21, surpassing expectations [5]. - For the fiscal year ending January 2026, analysts expect Dollar Tree to report a 12.4% year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS to $5.73. The company has a mixed earnings surprise history, surpassing bottom-line estimates in three of the past four quarters [6]. Analyst Ratings - Dollar Tree has a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating overall, with 27 analysts covering the stock. This includes nine "Strong Buys," 14 "Holds," two "Moderate Sells," and two "Strong Sells" [6]. - Recently, Wall Street's sentiment has turned slightly bearish, with two "Strong Sell" ratings compared to one a month ago. An analyst from Evercore ISI Group maintained an "In-Line" rating and lowered the target price from $165 to $160. The mean price target of $120.48 is below current market prices, while the Street-high target of $160 suggests a potential upside of 28% from current levels [7].