I Predicted Oracle Would Be the Hottest "Ten Titans" Stock to Buy in 2026, But the Growth Stock Is Already Down 27% This Year. Is Oracle Still a Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's stock has significantly declined, trading down 52% from its all-time high and 19.5% year to date, raising questions about its investment thesis and future prospects [2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Oracle experienced a historic surge in its market capitalization, nearing $1 trillion, and briefly made its co-founder Larry Ellison the wealthiest person in the world [1]. - The company is heavily investing in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), with cloud revenue constituting 50% of its latest quarter's revenue [3]. - Oracle's database and data management software segment remains a high-margin cash cow for the company [3]. Group 2: Industry Context - The software industry is facing a downturn due to fears that AI will disrupt established workflows, affecting Oracle and other major players like Microsoft and ServiceNow [4]. - Oracle's stock performance is being influenced by broader industry trends, which may continue to drag it down [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Oracle announced a plan to grow OCI revenue from approximately $10 billion in fiscal 2025 to $144 billion by fiscal 2030, supported by a 359% increase in remaining performance obligations (RPO) [5]. - As of December, Oracle's RPO reached $523 billion, bolstered by high-profile deals with hyperscalers like Meta Platforms [5]. - However, Oracle's reliance on OpenAI, which constitutes around $300 billion of its RPO, raises concerns about the sustainability of its growth plans [6].