Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Jiang Bolong (301308) experienced significant fluctuations, closing at 303.69 yuan on February 13, 2026, with a rise of 3.75% and a trading volume of 4.843 billion yuan, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 24.04%, despite a recent 14.09% pullback over the last 20 trading days. The stock movement is driven by strong performance forecasts and technological advancements in the company [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - The company's 2025 earnings forecast indicates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.25 billion to 1.55 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 150.66% to 210.82%. The non-GAAP net profit is expected to grow by 578.51% to 710.60%. The fourth quarter alone is projected to yield a non-GAAP net profit of 650 million to 870 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 45.83% to 95.09%, primarily due to a rebound in storage prices and surging demand for AI servers [1]. Business and Technology Development - The company has deployed over 100 million self-developed main control chips, with the UFS 4.1 main control chip completing tape-out and nearing mass production. Revenue from enterprise storage business increased by 138.66% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with a higher proportion of high-end products improving the gross profit structure. Products such as AI server storage and automotive-grade UFS have passed certification from leading clients, entering high-growth market segments [2]. Capital Situation - On February 13, there was a net inflow of 499 million yuan from major funds, although the stock price experienced an 8.73% fluctuation over the past five days. Previously, shareholders reduced their holdings by transferring 12.57 million shares, accounting for 3% of the total share capital, at a transfer price of 212.09 yuan per share, which was a 36.92% discount to the market price at that time, creating short-term sentiment pressure [3]. Company Valuation - The current stock price has retraced approximately 22% from the January 29 high of 389 yuan. The KDJ indicator's J value has risen to 55.19, while the MACD remains in a bearish zone but shows a convergence in the downtrend. The price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) stands at 194.52 times, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating market divergence regarding the sustainability of the cycle. The stock price fluctuations are a result of high growth in earnings, technological breakthroughs, and short-term pressures from capital and valuation [4].
江波龙股价异动：业绩超预期与存储周期反转驱动