What's next for Cuba? Trump turns the screws as the island runs out of jet fuel

Core Viewpoint - Cuba's government is facing its most significant challenge since the Soviet Union's collapse, exacerbated by U.S. actions and a deepening economic crisis [1][4]. U.S. Actions and Impact - U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified pressure on Cuba following a military operation in Venezuela, resulting in the death of 32 Cuban soldiers and cutting off Cuba from Venezuelan oil [2][3]. - Trump labeled Cuba's government as "an unusual and extraordinary threat" and threatened tariffs on countries supplying oil to Cuba [2]. Economic Crisis and Government Response - Cuba is experiencing a severe economic crisis, leading to rationing measures for essential services and fuel supplies [3][4]. - The government has implemented restrictions on fuel sales, closed some tourist establishments, shortened school days, and reduced the working week for state-owned companies to four days [4]. International Relations and Support - Cuba's lack of foreign partners to assist during this crisis is notable, with Mexico suspending oil shipments while providing humanitarian aid [5][8]. - The BRICS bloc's response to Cuba's situation is being closely monitored, as it tests the group's ability to support its members [12][13]. Humanitarian Concerns - The United Nations has warned of a potential humanitarian collapse in Cuba due to dwindling oil supplies, with the Secretary-General expressing deep concern over the worsening situation [10][11]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the likelihood of President Miguel Díaz-Canel being forced from power is increasing, with potential civil unrest on the horizon due to the accelerating collapse of basic services [9][10]. - Despite the challenges, there is a sense of national resolve among Cubans to resist external pressures, with a new wave of patriotism emerging [6].