MSCI中国指数大调仓，37只股票新纳入，高盛测算14亿美元净流入居全球首位

Group 1 - MSCI announced the results of its quarterly index review on February 11, 2026, which included the addition of 37 stocks to the MSCI China Index and the removal of 16 stocks [1] - The adjustments will take effect after the market closes on February 27, 2026 [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs estimated that the MSCI core index adjustment will trigger over $17 billion and $14 billion in two-way passive trading in the Asia-Pacific and global emerging markets, with net inflows of approximately $1.6 billion and $450 million respectively [3] - Chinese stocks are expected to receive about $1.4 billion in net passive fund inflows, leading globally, while markets in France, the UK, and the US are projected to experience significant outflows [3] Group 3 - In the Asia-Pacific region, the main beneficiaries of passive fund inflows include technology hardware and semiconductors (+$2.2 billion), capital goods (+$930 million), and software and services (+$480 million), while sectors like consumer, transportation, and travel services are facing passive reductions [3] - In the Chinese market, the main paths for fund inflows are through semiconductors and related hardware, AI software and autonomous driving applications, and upstream resources and materials [4] Group 4 - Goldman Sachs predicts that newly added stocks such as SenseTime, Changfei Optical Fiber, Hesai Technology, and Pony.ai will each see at least $200 million in potential net passive fund inflows [4] - Historical data shows that stocks added to the MSCI index or with increased free float factors typically outperform those removed or with decreased factors between the announcement and effective dates [4]