Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang·2026-02-15 16:45Core Insights - MGM China reported a strong performance in Q4 2025, with net revenue reaching HKD 9.617 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21%, recovering to 169% of the same period in 2019 [1] - Adjusted EBITDA for MGM China was HKD 2.753 billion, up 29% year-on-year, recovering to 177% of the same period in 2019, primarily driven by the recovery of high-end business [1] - MGM International noted that the licensing and brand fee share charged to MGM China doubled, attributed to an increase in market share for MGM China [1] Institutional Views - Macquarie Securities adjusted MGM China's target price to HKD 21.6 on February 9, maintaining an "Outperform" rating based on Q4 performance and room upgrade plans [2] - CICC maintained an "Outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 16.10, but cautioned that new brand agreements could impact net profit by approximately 14% [2] - JPMorgan included MGM China as a top pick in Hong Kong stocks on February 12, optimistic about the recovery in the high-end market [2] Stock Performance - MGM China's stock experienced significant volatility, rising 4.11% to HKD 13.68 on February 9, but closing at HKD 13.58 on February 13, narrowing the cumulative gain to 3.35% with declining trading volume [3] - MGM International's stock fell 8.94% during the same period, with a single-day drop of 5.97% on February 12, influenced by market sentiment and technical adjustments [3] - The Hong Kong gaming sector saw a slight decline of 0.12%, while the U.S. gaming sector increased by 0.87% [3] Recent Events - MGM launched a National Art Fund project exhibition in Macau on February 5, aimed at enhancing brand cultural image, though the event had limited direct impact on stock prices [4]